Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 20:15 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.33) 0.52 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 29.6% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
0 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 16.6% 8.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 7.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosmosMurata
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack47%37%
Defense84%32%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosmos Murata
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%0%33%14%
Draws33%0%14%25%33%29%
Loses33%50%43%75%33%57%

Form: Cosmos: LLDLWWW • Murata: LDLLDWL

League goals

Metric Cosmos Murata
HATHAT
GF total369178
GF avg1.01.51.30.32.31.1
GA total14511516
GA avg0.31.00.72.81.72.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosmosMurata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%57%100%
1.543%14%14%57%
2.543%0%14%29%
3.50%0%14%14%
4.50%0%14%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosmosMurata
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score224303

Penalties

MetricCosmosMurata
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCosmosMurata
Wins01
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-3—1-5
Biggest losses0-12-00-63-1
Goals For3315
Goals Against1263

Model comparison

MetricCosmosMurata
Form71%29%
Att56%44%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Cosmos or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Superbet
Draw4.25 @ Superbet
Away6.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosmos = 1.28 (league 1.33), Murata = 0.52 (league 1.33)

Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 16.6% 8.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 11.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 7.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1