Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:15 • Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.00 (league 1.38) 0.12 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.8% 6.1% 0.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
19.9%
4 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre FioriFiorentino
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack54%15%
Defense85%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Fiori Fiorentino
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins100%75%86%33%0%14%
Draws0%25%14%33%50%43%
Loses0%0%0%33%50%43%

Form: Tre Fiori: WWWWWWD • Fiorentino: LWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Tre Fiori Fiorentino
HATHAT
GF total7512224
GF avg2.31.31.70.70.50.6
GA total1124711
GA avg0.30.30.31.31.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre FioriFiorentino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%29%43%71%
1.543%0%14%43%
2.529%0%0%29%
3.514%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre FioriFiorentino
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricTre FioriFiorentino
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricTre FioriFiorentino
Wins61
Draws02
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-0—
Biggest losses——0-43-0
Goals For4321
Goals Against1143

Model comparison

MetricTre FioriFiorentino
Form81%19%
Att78%22%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution97%3%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total74.2%25.8%

Advice: Winner : Tre Fiori

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ 1xBet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away11.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.64 @ Marathonbet
No1.42 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tre Fiori = 3.00 (league 1.38), Fiorentino = 0.12 (league 1.29)

Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 20.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.8% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1