Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.38) 0.50 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 31.7% 15.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 0
19.0%
2 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pennarossa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 19.0% 9.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertasPennarossa
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack28%39%
Defense39%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertas Pennarossa
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%50%25%38%
Draws25%50%38%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%50%75%63%

Form: Libertas: DLLWDDLL • Pennarossa: LLLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Libertas Pennarossa
HATHAT
GF total358527
GF avg0.81.31.01.30.50.9
GA total513189817
GA avg1.33.32.32.32.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertasPennarossa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%38%100%
1.513%38%38%63%
2.50%38%13%38%
3.50%25%0%13%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertasPennarossa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score101235

Penalties

MetricLibertasPennarossa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLibertasPennarossa
Wins11
Draws20
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-11-2
Biggest losses1-36-10-43-0
Goals For1232
Goals Against3643

Model comparison

MetricLibertasPennarossa
Form36%64%
Att42%58%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals70%30%
Total53.7%46.3%

Advice: Double chance : Libertas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Marathonbet
Away2.30 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.12 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Marathonbet
No2.30 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertas = 1.16 (league 1.38), Pennarossa = 0.50 (league 1.31)

Pennarossa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 19.0% 9.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 11.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.9% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 15.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1