Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.40 (league 1.38) 0.50 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.2% 14.3% 5.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
1 - 0
13.3%
3 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosmosLibertas
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack85%46%
Defense85%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosmos Libertas
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%20%0%11%
Draws50%0%22%40%50%44%
Loses25%40%33%40%50%44%

Form: Cosmos: LLDLWWWDW • Libertas: DLLWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Cosmos Libertas
HATHAT
GF total47115510
GF avg1.01.41.21.01.31.1
GA total24671320
GA avg0.50.80.71.43.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosmosLibertas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%89%89%
1.533%11%22%44%
2.533%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%22%
4.50%0%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosmosLibertas
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricCosmosLibertas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCosmosLibertas
Wins31
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-0—
Biggest losses0-12-01-36-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against1236

Model comparison

MetricCosmosLibertas
Form81%19%
Att65%35%
Def87%13%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total76.7%23.3%

Advice: Winner : Cosmos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Betano
Draw5.67 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.43 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosmos = 2.40 (league 1.38), Libertas = 0.50 (league 1.31)

Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 5.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.3% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.7% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 5.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1