Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.33) 0.49 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.0% 13.5% 5.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.8%
3 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.8% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosmosLibertas
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack85%46%
Defense85%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosmos Libertas
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%20%0%11%
Draws50%0%22%40%50%44%
Loses25%40%33%40%50%44%

Form: Cosmos: LLDLWWWDW • Libertas: DLLWDDLLD

League goals

Metric Cosmos Libertas
HATHAT
GF total47115510
GF avg1.01.41.21.01.31.1
GA total24671320
GA avg0.50.80.71.43.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosmosLibertas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%56%89%89%
1.533%11%22%44%
2.533%0%0%33%
3.50%0%0%22%
4.50%0%0%22%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosmosLibertas
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricCosmosLibertas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCosmosLibertas
Wins31
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-31-0—
Biggest losses0-12-01-36-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against1236

Model comparison

MetricCosmosLibertas
Form81%19%
Att65%35%
Def87%13%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total76.7%23.3%

Advice: Winner : Cosmos

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Betano
Draw5.67 @ Pinnacle
Away9.50 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.43 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosmos = 2.48 (league 1.33), Libertas = 0.49 (league 1.33)

Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.8% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 7.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.1% 6.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.1% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.0% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1