Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 17:30 • Stadio di Fiorentino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.38) 0.30 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 40.7% 12.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.1%
1 - 0
26.8%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cailungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 32.1% 9.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 8.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinoCailungo
Played55
Form7%0%
Attack8%15%
Defense15%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentino Cailungo
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%0%11%0%25%11%
Draws25%40%33%20%0%11%
Loses50%60%56%80%75%78%

Form: Fiorentino: LWDDLLDLL • Cailungo: LDWLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Fiorentino Cailungo
HATHAT
GF total224314
GF avg0.50.40.40.60.30.4
GA total591411920
GA avg1.31.81.62.22.32.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinoCailungo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%78%44%89%
1.511%44%0%67%
2.50%22%0%56%
3.50%11%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinoCailungo
HATHAT
Clean sheets202011
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricFiorentinoCailungo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFiorentinoCailungo
Wins11
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——0-1
Biggest losses0-43-01-43-0
Goals For2111
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinoCailungo
Form100%0%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h60%40%
Goals77%23%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Fiorentino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away4.84 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fiorentino = 0.83 (league 1.38), Cailungo = 0.30 (league 1.29)

Cailungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 32.1% 9.7% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.8% 8.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.2% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 40.7% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1