Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:15 • Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.33) 4.84 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 5.4% 55.6%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.6%
1 - 5
6.4%
0 - 4
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pennarossa 0 0.2% 1.2% 2.9% 4.6% 5.6% 5.4%
1 0.3% 1.4% 3.4% 5.4% 6.6% 6.4%
2 0.2% 0.8% 2.0% 3.2% 3.8% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPennarossaLa Fiorita
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack70%100%
Defense10%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pennarossa La Fiorita
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%20%33%50%60%56%
Draws0%20%11%50%40%44%
Loses50%60%56%0%0%0%

Form: Pennarossa: LLLWLWLWD • La Fiorita: DWWDDWWWD

League goals

Metric Pennarossa La Fiorita
HATHAT
GF total54991423
GF avg1.30.81.02.32.82.6
GA total910194610
GA avg2.32.02.11.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePennarossaLa Fiorita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%100%100%78%
1.544%67%89%33%
2.511%33%44%0%
3.50%11%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPennarossaLa Fiorita
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score235000

Penalties

MetricPennarossaLa Fiorita
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricPennarossaLa Fiorita
Wins13
Draws02
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-5
Biggest losses0-43-0——
Goals For3235
Goals Against4322

Model comparison

MetricPennarossaLa Fiorita
Form39%61%
Att37%63%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h0%100%
Goals7%93%
Total28.6%71.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : La Fiorita and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.00 @ Bet365
Draw6.96 @ Pinnacle
Away1.22 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pennarossa = 1.17 (league 1.33), La Fiorita = 4.84 (league 1.33)

La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pennarossa 0 0.2% 1.2% 2.9% 4.6% 5.6% 5.4%
1 0.3% 1.4% 3.4% 5.4% 6.6% 6.4%
2 0.2% 0.8% 2.0% 3.2% 3.8% 3.7%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 5.4% · Away win 55.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1