Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:45 • Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.33) 0.90 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 30.3% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 13.2% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre PenneMurata
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack30%70%
Defense60%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Penne Murata
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%25%44%0%25%11%
Draws40%50%44%40%50%44%
Loses0%25%11%60%25%44%

Form: Tre Penne: WWWDWLDDD • Murata: LDLLDWLDD

League goals

Metric Tre Penne Murata
HATHAT
GF total5813189
GF avg1.02.01.40.22.01.0
GA total05511617
GA avg0.01.30.62.21.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre PenneMurata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%56%89%
1.533%11%11%44%
2.511%11%11%22%
3.511%0%11%11%
4.511%0%11%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre PenneMurata
HATHAT
Clean sheets516101
Failed to score213404

Penalties

MetricTre PenneMurata
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricTre PenneMurata
Wins31
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-6—1-5
Biggest losses—3-00-63-1
Goals For2615
Goals Against0363

Model comparison

MetricTre PenneMurata
Form50%50%
Att30%70%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals70%30%
Total62.4%37.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tre Penne or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.39 @ Betano
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away9.25 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Penne = 1.13 (league 1.33), Murata = 0.90 (league 1.33)

Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 13.2% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.4% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.4% 7.5% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 28.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1