Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Acquaviva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.38) 1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.1% 32.3% 48.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.5%
0 - 0
18.4%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tre Fiori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus 0 18.4% 20.5% 11.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVirtusTre Fiori
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%90%
Defense90%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Virtus Tre Fiori
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins80%100%89%100%80%89%
Draws20%0%11%0%20%11%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Virtus: DWWWWWWWW • Tre Fiori: WWWWWWDWW

League goals

Metric Virtus Tre Fiori
HATHAT
GF total1012229918
GF avg2.03.02.42.31.82.0
GA total404123
GA avg0.80.00.40.30.40.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVirtusTre Fiori
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%89%33%
1.5100%11%56%0%
2.533%0%33%0%
3.511%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVirtusTre Fiori
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricVirtusTre Fiori
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVirtusTre Fiori
Wins06
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-44-01-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For2444
Goals Against2011

Model comparison

MetricVirtusTre Fiori
Form54%46%
Att59%41%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h85%15%
Goals86%14%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : Virtus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ Marathonbet
No1.67 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Virtus = 0.58 (league 1.38), Tre Fiori = 1.11 (league 1.29)

Tre Fiori
0 1 2 3 4 5
Virtus 0 18.4% 20.5% 11.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.1% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 48.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1