Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.20 (league 1.38) 0.31 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.0% 6.8% 1.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
15.3%
4 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Tre Penne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFolgoreTre Penne
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%30%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Folgore Tre Penne
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins100%20%60%67%25%50%
Draws0%40%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%40%20%0%25%10%

Form: Folgore: WLWWWLWWDD • Tre Penne: WWWDWLDDDW

League goals

Metric Folgore Tre Penne
HATHAT
GF total177247815
GF avg3.41.42.41.22.01.5
GA total178055
GA avg0.21.40.80.01.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFolgoreTre Penne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%70%30%
1.570%30%40%10%
2.540%0%10%10%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.510%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFolgoreTre Penne
HATHAT
Clean sheets415617
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricFolgoreTre Penne
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricFolgoreTre Penne
Wins33
Draws03
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-22-00-6
Biggest losses—2-1—3-0
Goals For6226
Goals Against1203

Model comparison

MetricFolgoreTre Penne
Form57%43%
Att81%19%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h15%85%
Goals38%62%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tre Penne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Marathonbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Folgore = 3.20 (league 1.38), Tre Penne = 0.31 (league 1.29)

Tre Penne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.3% 5.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.4% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.0% · Draw 6.8% · Away win 1.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1