Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Igor Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.30 (league 1.33) 1.32 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.3% 28.4% 63.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.1%
0 - 0
19.7%
0 - 2
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Pennarossa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murata 0 19.7% 26.1% 17.2% 7.6% 2.5% 0.7%
1 5.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMurataPennarossa
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack50%58%
Defense17%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Murata Pennarossa
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins0%20%10%40%20%30%
Draws40%40%40%0%20%10%
Loses60%40%50%60%60%60%

Form: Murata: LDLLDWLDDL • Pennarossa: LLLWLWLWDL

League goals

Metric Murata Pennarossa
HATHAT
GF total189549
GF avg0.21.60.91.00.80.9
GA total11819141024
GA avg2.21.61.92.82.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMurataPennarossa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%90%40%100%
1.510%50%40%70%
2.510%20%10%40%
3.510%10%0%20%
4.510%10%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMurataPennarossa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score415336

Penalties

MetricMurataPennarossa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMurataPennarossa
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-53-11-2
Biggest losses0-63-10-53-0
Goals For1532
Goals Against6353

Model comparison

MetricMurataPennarossa
Form42%58%
Att46%54%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h100%0%
Goals90%10%
Total50.4%49.6%

Advice: Double chance : Murata or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.17 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Murata = 0.30 (league 1.33), Pennarossa = 1.32 (league 1.33)

Pennarossa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murata 0 19.7% 26.1% 17.2% 7.6% 2.5% 0.7%
1 5.9% 7.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 63.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1