Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio di Fiorentino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.38) 0.39 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.4% 38.9% 15.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
1 - 0
24.8%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
San Marino Academy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 28.5% 11.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinoSan Marino Academy
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack27%27%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentino San Marino Academy
HATHAT
Played56117411
Wins40%17%27%0%0%0%
Draws20%33%27%14%25%18%
Loses40%50%45%86%75%82%

Form: Fiorentino: LWDDLLDLLWW • San Marino Academy: DLLLLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Fiorentino San Marino Academy
HATHAT
GF total336426
GF avg0.60.50.50.60.50.5
GA total591421829
GA avg1.01.51.33.02.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinoSan Marino Academy
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%64%55%100%
1.59%36%0%73%
2.50%18%0%55%
3.50%9%0%18%
4.50%0%0%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinoSan Marino Academy
HATHAT
Clean sheets314000
Failed to score336325

Penalties

MetricFiorentinoSan Marino Academy
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFiorentinoSan Marino Academy
Wins10
Draws21
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-1——
Biggest losses0-43-00-53-0
Goals For2111
Goals Against4353

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinoSan Marino Academy
Form88%13%
Att50%50%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h75%25%
Goals54%46%
Total68.8%31.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fiorentino or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away6.79 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 1xBet
No1.70 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentino = 0.87 (league 1.38), San Marino Academy = 0.39 (league 1.29)

San Marino Academy
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 28.5% 11.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.8% 9.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.8% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.4% · Draw 38.9% · Away win 15.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1