Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio di Fiorentino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.38) 0.80 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.4% 32.4% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 16.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinoMurata
Played55
Form80%7%
Attack60%10%
Defense90%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentino Murata
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%29%38%0%17%8%
Draws17%29%23%29%33%31%
Loses33%43%38%71%50%62%

Form: Fiorentino: LWDDLLDLLWWWW • Murata: LDLLDWLDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Fiorentino Murata
HATHAT
GF total46102810
GF avg0.70.90.80.31.30.8
GA total5914151227
GA avg0.81.31.12.12.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinoMurata
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%54%46%92%
1.515%31%8%62%
2.58%15%8%23%
3.50%8%8%15%
4.50%0%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinoMurata
HATHAT
Clean sheets426101
Failed to score336527

Penalties

MetricFiorentinoMurata
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFiorentinoMurata
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-3—1-5
Biggest losses0-43-00-64-0
Goals For2315
Goals Against4364

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinoMurata
Form92%8%
Att86%14%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h40%60%
Goals36%64%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Fiorentino or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away3.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentino = 1.01 (league 1.38), Murata = 0.80 (league 1.29)

Murata
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 16.2% 13.0% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 28.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1