Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:15 • Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.20 (league 1.38) 0.15 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
83.3% 5.4% 0.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
17.9%
4 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.9% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.1% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.3% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre FioriFaetano
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack88%25%
Defense81%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Fiori Faetano
HATHAT
Played58136713
Wins100%63%77%17%29%23%
Draws0%38%23%17%14%15%
Loses0%0%0%67%57%62%

Form: Tre Fiori: WWWWWWDWWDDWW • Faetano: WLLLWDLLDLWLL

League goals

Metric Tre Fiori Faetano
HATHAT
GF total1315284711
GF avg2.61.92.20.71.00.8
GA total145141226
GA avg0.20.50.42.31.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre FioriFaetano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%31%77%77%
1.562%8%8%62%
2.538%0%0%31%
3.531%0%0%15%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre FioriFaetano
HATHAT
Clean sheets459123
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricTre FioriFaetano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTre FioriFaetano
Wins61
Draws21
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-41-00-2
Biggest losses——0-64-1
Goals For4412
Goals Against1264

Model comparison

MetricTre FioriFaetano
Form73%27%
Att78%22%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h85%15%
Goals63%37%
Total79.0%21.0%

Advice: Winner : Tre Fiori

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.14 @ Bet365
Draw7.46 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.53 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.42 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Fiori = 3.20 (league 1.38), Faetano = 0.15 (league 1.29)

Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.1% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.9% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 19.1% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 15.3% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 9.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.3% · Draw 5.4% · Away win 0.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1