Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.38) 0.56 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 19.1% 9.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre PenneLibertas
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack47%24%
Defense82%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Penne Libertas
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%43%54%14%17%15%
Draws33%29%31%29%50%38%
Loses0%29%15%57%33%46%

Form: Tre Penne: WWWDWLDDDWWLW • Libertas: DLLWDDLLDDLWL

League goals

Metric Tre Penne Libertas
HATHAT
GF total714215712
GF avg1.22.01.60.71.20.9
GA total088121426
GA avg0.01.10.61.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre PenneLibertas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%38%77%85%
1.546%15%15%38%
2.515%8%0%31%
3.58%0%0%23%
4.58%0%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre PenneLibertas
HATHAT
Clean sheets628112
Failed to score213303

Penalties

MetricTre PenneLibertas
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricTre PenneLibertas
Wins31
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-61-00-1
Biggest losses—3-00-46-1
Goals For2622
Goals Against0346

Model comparison

MetricTre PenneLibertas
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals76%24%
Total75.2%24.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tre Penne or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Bet365
Draw6.09 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Penne = 2.00 (league 1.38), Libertas = 0.56 (league 1.29)

Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 5.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1