Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Igor Crescentini
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.38) 0.84 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 21.8% 16.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Fiorita 0 6.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.4% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLa FioritaFiorentino
Played55
Form73%100%
Attack61%50%
Defense83%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.60 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric La Fiorita Fiorentino
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins33%75%57%57%29%43%
Draws67%25%43%14%29%21%
Loses0%0%0%29%43%36%

Form: La Fiorita: DWWDDWWWDWDWDW • Fiorentino: LWDDLLDLLWWWWW

League goals

Metric La Fiorita Fiorentino
HATHAT
GF total1222347613
GF avg2.02.82.41.00.90.9
GA total76135914
GA avg1.20.80.90.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLa FioritaFiorentino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%64%57%50%
1.579%29%21%29%
2.536%0%14%14%
3.514%0%0%7%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLa FioritaFiorentino
HATHAT
Clean sheets145527
Failed to score000336

Penalties

MetricLa FioritaFiorentino
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricLa FioritaFiorentino
Wins31
Draws22
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-53-00-3
Biggest losses——0-43-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricLa FioritaFiorentino
Form42%58%
Att55%45%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : La Fiorita or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Bet365
Draw4.75 @ Marathonbet
Away9.20 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): La Fiorita = 1.88 (league 1.38), Fiorentino = 0.84 (league 1.29)

Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
La Fiorita 0 6.6% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.4% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.3% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 16.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1