Expected Goals
0.17 (league 1.38)
1.62 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|
| 3.6% |
21.6% |
74.2% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Juvenes / Dogana |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Murata |
0 |
16.6% |
26.9% |
21.8% |
11.8% |
4.8% |
1.6% |
| 1 |
2.9% |
4.7% |
3.8% |
2.1% |
0.8% |
0.3% |
| 2 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Murata | Juvenes / Dogana |
|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 67% |
| Attack | 6% | 44% |
| Defense | 28% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric |
Murata |
Juvenes / Dogana |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Wins | 0% | 14% | 7% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
| Draws | 29% | 29% | 29% | 38% | 33% | 36% |
| Loses | 71% | 57% | 64% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Murata: LDLLDWLDDLLLLL • Juvenes / Dogana: DWLWDLDDLWWLDW
League goals
| Metric |
Murata |
Juvenes / Dogana |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| GF total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Murata | Juvenes / Dogana |
|---|
| For | Against | For | Against |
|---|
| 0.5 | 43% | 93% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 7% | 64% | 36% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 29% | 7% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Murata | Juvenes / Dogana |
|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Murata | Juvenes / Dogana |
|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Murata | Juvenes / Dogana |
|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-6 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Murata | Juvenes / Dogana |
|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 11% | 89% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 10% | 90% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 41.8% | 58.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Juvenes / Dogana
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home5.80 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away1.65 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
William Hill
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
5.00 |
| Draw |
3.50 |
| Away |
1.55 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
4.75 |
| Draw |
2.30 |
| Away |
2.05 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.60 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.40 |
| Over 2.5 |
6.50 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.08 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.33 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.90 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
1.85 |
| No |
1.80 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
13.00 |
| 2:0 |
26.00 |
| 2:1 |
15.00 |
| 3:0 |
67.00 |
| 3:1 |
46.00 |
| 3:2 |
46.00 |
| 4:0 |
126.00 |
| 4:1 |
101.00 |
| 0:0 |
10.00 |
| 1:1 |
6.50 |
| 2:2 |
15.00 |
| 0:1 |
6.00 |
| 0:2 |
6.50 |
| 0:3 |
10.00 |
| 1:2 |
7.50 |
| 1:3 |
12.00 |
| 2:3 |
23.00 |
| 3:3 |
61.00 |
| 0:4 |
21.00 |
| 1:4 |
23.00 |
| 2:4 |
46.00 |
| 4:2 |
101.00 |
| 0:5 |
46.00 |
| 0:6 |
101.00 |
| 1:5 |
51.00 |
| 1:6 |
101.00 |
| 2:5 |
91.00 |
| 2:6 |
126.00 |
| 3:4 |
101.00 |
| 5:0 |
151.00 |
| 5:1 |
151.00 |
| 5:2 |
151.00 |
| 6:0 |
151.00 |
| 6:1 |
151.00 |
| 6:2 |
151.00 |
| 4:3 |
126.00 |
| 4:4 |
151.00 |
| 7:0 |
151.00 |
| 7:1 |
151.00 |
| 8:0 |
151.00 |
| 0:7 |
151.00 |
| 0:8 |
151.00 |
| 0:9 |
151.00 |
| 0:10 |
151.00 |
| 1:7 |
151.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
2.25 |
| Home/Away |
1.25 |
| Draw/Away |
1.14 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
5.00 |
| Draw |
2.15 |
| Away |
2.15 |
Bet ID 32 — Win Both Halves
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
23.00 |
| Away |
4.50 |
Bet ID 24 — Results/Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Yes |
10.00 |
| Draw/Yes |
5.50 |
| Away/Yes |
3.60 |
Bet365
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
4.50 |
| Draw |
3.50 |
| Away |
1.65 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
3.00 |
| Away |
1.36 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home +0.5 |
1.98 |
| Away +0.5 |
1.82 |
| Home +0.75 |
1.92 |
| Away +0.75 |
1.88 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 2.5 |
2.05 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.75 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
17.00 |
| Home/Away |
26.00 |
| Draw/Away |
4.75 |
| Draw/Draw |
5.50 |
| Home/Home |
6.50 |
| Draw/Home |
8.50 |
| Away/Home |
34.00 |
| Away/Draw |
17.00 |
| Away/Away |
2.88 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
11.00 |
| 2:0 |
21.00 |
| 2:1 |
17.00 |
| 3:0 |
41.00 |
| 3:1 |
34.00 |
| 3:2 |
41.00 |
| 4:0 |
81.00 |
| 4:1 |
67.00 |
| 0:0 |
8.50 |
| 1:1 |
7.00 |
| 2:2 |
19.00 |
| 0:1 |
6.50 |
| 0:2 |
8.50 |
| 0:3 |
13.00 |
| 1:2 |
10.00 |
| 1:3 |
17.00 |
| 2:3 |
34.00 |
| 3:3 |
51.00 |
| 0:4 |
26.00 |
| 1:4 |
34.00 |
| 2:4 |
51.00 |
| 4:2 |
81.00 |
| 0:5 |
41.00 |
| 0:6 |
81.00 |
| 1:5 |
51.00 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
6.50 |
| 2:0 |
26.00 |
| 2:1 |
41.00 |
| 3:0 |
81.00 |
| 0:0 |
2.62 |
| 1:1 |
9.50 |
| 2:2 |
67.00 |
| 0:1 |
3.75 |
| 0:2 |
8.50 |
| 0:3 |
23.00 |
| 1:2 |
21.00 |
| 1:3 |
51.00 |
| 0:4 |
51.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.83 |
| Home/Away |
1.25 |
| Draw/Away |
1.18 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
5.00 |
| Draw |
2.10 |
| Away |
2.25 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
2.60 |
| Draw |
8.50 |
| Away |
1.62 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home +0.25 |
1.80 |
| Away +0.25 |
2.00 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.57 |
| Home/Away |
1.67 |
| Draw/Away |
1.14 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
2.00 |
| Even |
1.85 |
Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
2.10 |
| Even |
1.73 |
Bet ID 45 — Corners Over Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 8.5 |
1.91 |
| Under 8.5 |
1.80 |
Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
2.00 |
| Even |
1.73 |
Bet ID 50 — Goal Line
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 2.25 |
1.80 |
| Under 2.25 |
2.00 |
Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1 |
1.98 |
| Under 1 |
1.82 |
Bet ID 85 — Total Corners (3 way)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Exactly 8 |
7.50 |
| Over 8 |
1.91 |
| Under 8 |
2.38 |
Bet ID 77 — Total Corners (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Exactly 4 |
5.00 |
| Over 4 |
2.05 |
| Under 4 |
1.75 |
Marathonbet
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
5.80 |
| Draw |
3.54 |
| Away |
1.52 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
5.40 |
| Draw |
2.53 |
| Away |
1.84 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -0.25 |
4.85 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.11 |
| Home +0 |
4.30 |
| Away +0 |
1.15 |
| Home +0.25 |
2.83 |
| Away +0.25 |
1.33 |
| Home +0.75 |
2.00 |
| Away +0.75 |
1.65 |
| Home +1 |
1.76 |
| Away +1 |
1.92 |
| Home +2 |
1.18 |
| Away +2 |
3.90 |
| Home +3 |
1.01 |
| Away +3 |
8.40 |
| Home +1.25 |
1.55 |
| Away +1.25 |
2.17 |
| Home +1.5 |
1.43 |
| Away +1.5 |
2.46 |
| Home +1.75 |
1.31 |
| Away +1.75 |
2.92 |
| Home +2.5 |
1.12 |
| Away +2.5 |
4.65 |
| Home +3.5 |
1.00 |
| Away +3.5 |
9.00 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.28 |
| Under 1.5 |
3.08 |
| Over 1.75 |
1.35 |
| Under 1.75 |
2.74 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.45 |
| Under 2.0 |
2.41 |
| Over 2.25 |
1.68 |
| Under 2.25 |
1.96 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.92 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.77 |
| Over 2.75 |
2.14 |
| Under 2.75 |
1.57 |
| Over 3.5 |
3.14 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.27 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.05 |
| Under 1.0 |
6.70 |
| Over 3.0 |
2.59 |
| Under 3.0 |
1.39 |
| Over 3.25 |
2.88 |
| Under 3.25 |
1.32 |
| Over 3.75 |
3.90 |
| Under 3.75 |
1.18 |
| Over 4.0 |
5.30 |
| Under 4.0 |
1.09 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.79 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.35 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.41 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.56 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.92 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.77 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.10 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.64 |
| Over 2.0 |
3.42 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.24 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.43 |
| Under 1.0 |
2.50 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
1.96 |
| No |
1.70 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home +1 |
2.21 |
| Draw +1 |
3.34 |
| Away +1 |
2.46 |
| Home +2 |
1.43 |
| Draw +2 |
4.40 |
| Away +2 |
4.65 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
2.21 |
| Home/Away |
1.21 |
| Draw/Away |
1.06 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
6.30 |
| Draw |
2.06 |
| Away |
2.09 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
3.38 |
| Draw |
7.80 |
| Away |
1.43 |
Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
3.34 |
| Draw |
7.80 |
| Away |
1.44 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
4.55 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.14 |
| Over 1 |
3.10 |
| Under 1 |
1.31 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.70 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.96 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.73 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.97 |
| Over 1 |
1.23 |
| Under 1 |
3.58 |
| Over 2 |
2.40 |
| Under 2 |
1.48 |
Pinnacle
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
4.94 |
| Draw |
3.70 |
| Away |
1.58 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home +0 |
3.73 |
| Away +0 |
1.21 |
| Home +0.25 |
2.70 |
| Away +0.25 |
1.38 |
| Home +0.5 |
2.25 |
| Away +0.5 |
1.56 |
| Home +0.75 |
2.01 |
| Away +0.75 |
1.75 |
| Home +1 |
1.70 |
| Away +1 |
2.00 |
| Home +1.25 |
1.52 |
| Away +1.25 |
2.30 |
| Home +1.5 |
1.41 |
| Away +1.5 |
2.60 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.31 |
| Under 1.5 |
3.01 |
| Over 1.75 |
1.31 |
| Under 1.75 |
2.99 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.40 |
| Under 2.0 |
2.63 |
| Over 2.25 |
1.62 |
| Under 2.25 |
2.13 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.85 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.88 |
| Over 2.75 |
2.06 |
| Under 2.75 |
1.66 |
| Over 3.0 |
2.44 |
| Under 3.0 |
1.46 |
| Over 3.25 |
2.74 |
| Under 3.25 |
1.37 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.62 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.39 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.34 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.82 |
| Over 0.75 |
1.48 |
| Under 0.75 |
2.40 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.79 |
| Under 1.0 |
1.94 |
| Over 1.25 |
2.21 |
| Under 1.25 |
1.56 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
1.60 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.22 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.71 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.00 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -0.25 |
4.05 |
| Away -0.25 |
1.17 |
| Home +0 |
3.25 |
| Away +0 |
1.27 |
| Home +0.25 |
2.07 |
| Away +0.25 |
1.70 |
| Home +0.5 |
1.65 |
| Away +0.5 |
2.06 |
| Home +0.75 |
1.42 |
| Away +0.75 |
2.53 |
Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
1.65 |
| Under 0.5 |
2.06 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
Murata = 0.17 (league 1.38),
Juvenes / Dogana = 1.62 (league 1.29)
|
|
Juvenes / Dogana |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Murata |
0 |
16.6% |
26.9% |
21.8% |
11.8% |
4.8% |
1.6% |
| 1 |
2.9% |
4.7% |
3.8% |
2.1% |
0.8% |
0.3% |
| 2 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 3.6% ·
Draw 21.6% ·
Away win 74.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1
