Expected Goals
4.52 (league 1.38)
0.46 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|
| 66.0% |
3.1% |
0.9% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Libertas |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Virtus |
0 |
0.7% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
3.1% |
1.4% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
7.1% |
3.2% |
0.7% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
10.6% |
4.9% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
12.0% |
5.5% |
1.3% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
10.8% |
5.0% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 11% |
| Defense | 89% | 39% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric |
Virtus |
Libertas |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 75% | 83% | 79% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 14% | 29% | 43% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 7% | 57% | 43% | 50% |
Form: Virtus: DWWWWWWWWDLWWW • Libertas: DLLWDDLLDDLWLL
League goals
| Metric |
Virtus |
Libertas |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| GF total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|
| For | Against | For | Against |
|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 36% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 86% | 7% | 14% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 21% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
|---|
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-4 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus | Libertas |
|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 85% | 15% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 82.4% | 17.6% |
Advice: Winner : Virtus
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.09 @ Bet365
Draw9.50 @ Bet365
Away27.00 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.67 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.33 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.53.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
William Hill
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.08 |
| Draw |
8.00 |
| Away |
26.00 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.30 |
| Draw |
3.90 |
| Away |
12.00 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.80 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.85 |
| Over 2.5 |
3.50 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.25 |
| Over 3.5 |
8.00 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.06 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.17 |
| Under 0.5 |
4.50 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
2.15 |
| No |
1.60 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
10.00 |
| 2:0 |
6.50 |
| 2:1 |
9.00 |
| 3:0 |
6.00 |
| 3:1 |
10.00 |
| 3:2 |
26.00 |
| 4:0 |
7.50 |
| 4:1 |
13.00 |
| 0:0 |
26.00 |
| 1:1 |
15.00 |
| 2:2 |
29.00 |
| 0:1 |
61.00 |
| 0:2 |
101.00 |
| 0:3 |
151.00 |
| 1:2 |
56.00 |
| 1:3 |
126.00 |
| 2:3 |
101.00 |
| 3:3 |
91.00 |
| 0:4 |
151.00 |
| 1:4 |
151.00 |
| 2:4 |
151.00 |
| 4:2 |
36.00 |
| 0:5 |
151.00 |
| 0:6 |
151.00 |
| 1:5 |
151.00 |
| 1:6 |
151.00 |
| 2:5 |
151.00 |
| 2:6 |
151.00 |
| 3:4 |
151.00 |
| 5:0 |
11.00 |
| 5:1 |
19.00 |
| 5:2 |
51.00 |
| 6:0 |
19.00 |
| 6:1 |
29.00 |
| 6:2 |
81.00 |
| 4:3 |
101.00 |
| 4:4 |
151.00 |
| 7:0 |
36.00 |
| 7:1 |
56.00 |
| 8:0 |
71.00 |
| 9:0 |
101.00 |
| 10:0 |
151.00 |
| 1:7 |
151.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Away |
1.06 |
| Draw/Away |
6.50 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.36 |
| Draw |
3.30 |
| Away |
13.00 |
Bet ID 32 — Win Both Halves
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.85 |
| Away |
101.00 |
Bet ID 24 — Results/Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Draw/Yes |
11.00 |
Bet365
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.09 |
| Draw |
9.50 |
| Away |
21.00 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.02 |
| Away |
10.50 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -2.75 |
1.90 |
| Away -2.75 |
1.90 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 2.5 |
1.28 |
| Under 2.5 |
3.50 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
29.00 |
| Home/Away |
51.00 |
| Draw/Away |
29.00 |
| Draw/Draw |
15.00 |
| Home/Home |
1.40 |
| Draw/Home |
4.33 |
| Away/Home |
19.00 |
| Away/Draw |
34.00 |
| Away/Away |
29.00 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
13.00 |
| 2:0 |
8.00 |
| 2:1 |
15.00 |
| 3:0 |
7.50 |
| 3:1 |
13.00 |
| 3:2 |
34.00 |
| 4:0 |
8.00 |
| 4:1 |
15.00 |
| 0:0 |
26.00 |
| 1:1 |
17.00 |
| 2:2 |
29.00 |
| 0:1 |
41.00 |
| 0:2 |
81.00 |
| 0:3 |
81.00 |
| 1:2 |
41.00 |
| 1:3 |
81.00 |
| 2:3 |
81.00 |
| 3:3 |
67.00 |
| 4:2 |
41.00 |
| 5:0 |
11.00 |
| 5:1 |
21.00 |
| 5:2 |
51.00 |
| 6:0 |
17.00 |
| 6:1 |
34.00 |
| 6:2 |
67.00 |
| 7:0 |
26.00 |
| 7:1 |
51.00 |
| 8:0 |
41.00 |
| 8:1 |
67.00 |
| 9:0 |
67.00 |
Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| 1:0 |
3.60 |
| 2:0 |
4.75 |
| 2:1 |
17.00 |
| 3:0 |
8.00 |
| 3:1 |
29.00 |
| 4:0 |
17.00 |
| 4:1 |
51.00 |
| 0:0 |
4.75 |
| 1:1 |
13.00 |
| 2:2 |
67.00 |
| 0:1 |
17.00 |
| 0:2 |
67.00 |
| 0:3 |
81.00 |
| 1:2 |
51.00 |
| 5:0 |
34.00 |
| 5:1 |
81.00 |
| 6:0 |
67.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.00 |
| Home/Away |
1.05 |
| Draw/Away |
6.00 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.36 |
| Draw |
3.50 |
| Away |
12.00 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.17 |
| Draw |
26.00 |
| Away |
5.00 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1.25 |
1.95 |
| Away -1.25 |
1.85 |
Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Draw |
1.01 |
| Home/Away |
1.28 |
| Draw/Away |
3.00 |
Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.95 |
| Even |
1.90 |
Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
2.00 |
| Even |
1.80 |
Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Odd |
1.83 |
| Even |
1.83 |
Bet ID 50 — Goal Line
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 3.75 |
1.80 |
| Under 3.75 |
2.00 |
Bet ID 72 — Goal Line (1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.78 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.02 |
Marathonbet
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.05 |
| Draw |
8.00 |
| Away |
27.00 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.19 |
| Draw |
4.55 |
| Away |
16.00 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1 |
1.08 |
| Away -1 |
5.45 |
| Home -3 |
2.08 |
| Away -3 |
1.60 |
| Home -2 |
1.40 |
| Away -2 |
2.56 |
| Home -1.75 |
1.33 |
| Away -1.75 |
2.83 |
| Home -1.5 |
1.28 |
| Away -1.5 |
3.08 |
| Home -4 |
3.58 |
| Away -4 |
1.21 |
| Home -2.5 |
1.73 |
| Away -2.5 |
1.96 |
| Home -2.25 |
1.55 |
| Away -2.25 |
2.17 |
| Home -3.75 |
2.92 |
| Away -3.75 |
1.31 |
| Home -3.5 |
2.52 |
| Away -3.5 |
1.41 |
| Home -3.25 |
2.30 |
| Away -3.25 |
1.49 |
| Home -2.75 |
1.85 |
| Away -2.75 |
1.77 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 2.0 |
1.11 |
| Under 2.0 |
4.85 |
| Over 2.25 |
1.28 |
| Under 2.25 |
3.05 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.33 |
| Under 2.5 |
2.83 |
| Over 2.75 |
1.40 |
| Under 2.75 |
2.56 |
| Over 3.5 |
1.85 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.84 |
| Over 3.0 |
1.48 |
| Under 3.0 |
2.33 |
| Over 4.5 |
2.74 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.35 |
| Over 3.25 |
1.65 |
| Under 3.25 |
2.00 |
| Over 3.75 |
1.99 |
| Under 3.75 |
1.66 |
| Over 4.0 |
2.28 |
| Under 4.0 |
1.50 |
| Over 4.25 |
2.52 |
| Under 4.25 |
1.41 |
| Over 4.75 |
3.20 |
| Under 4.75 |
1.26 |
| Over 5.0 |
4.00 |
| Under 5.0 |
1.17 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.02 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.69 |
| Over 2.0 |
3.14 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.28 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.44 |
| Under 1.0 |
2.47 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.47 |
| Under 1.5 |
2.39 |
| Over 2.0 |
1.86 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.82 |
| Over 2.5 |
2.44 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.45 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Yes |
2.67 |
| No |
1.38 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -3 |
2.52 |
| Draw -3 |
4.45 |
| Away -3 |
1.96 |
| Home -2 |
1.73 |
| Draw -2 |
4.45 |
| Away -2 |
3.08 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home/Away |
1.01 |
| Draw/Away |
6.20 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.41 |
| Draw |
2.82 |
| Away |
16.50 |
Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.08 |
| Draw |
15.75 |
| Away |
7.60 |
Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.08 |
| Draw |
15.75 |
| Away |
7.50 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 2.5 |
1.50 |
| Under 2.5 |
2.35 |
| Over 3.5 |
2.18 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.58 |
| Over 3 |
1.78 |
| Under 3 |
1.91 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
10.75 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.01 |
| Over 1 |
8.40 |
| Under 1 |
1.03 |
| Over 0.5 |
2.60 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.40 |
Pinnacle
Updated: 2026-01-11T12:27:12+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home |
1.08 |
| Draw |
9.40 |
| Away |
16.95 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -3 |
2.29 |
| Away -3 |
1.51 |
| Home -2 |
1.42 |
| Away -2 |
2.53 |
| Home -1.75 |
1.34 |
| Away -1.75 |
2.83 |
| Home -2.5 |
1.82 |
| Away -2.5 |
1.90 |
| Home -2.25 |
1.61 |
| Away -2.25 |
2.12 |
| Home -3.5 |
2.64 |
| Away -3.5 |
1.38 |
| Home -3.25 |
2.54 |
| Away -3.25 |
1.42 |
| Home -2.75 |
1.99 |
| Away -2.75 |
1.70 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 2.75 |
1.33 |
| Under 2.75 |
2.88 |
| Over 3.5 |
1.79 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.94 |
| Over 3.0 |
1.40 |
| Under 3.0 |
2.59 |
| Over 4.5 |
2.67 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.38 |
| Over 3.25 |
1.59 |
| Under 3.25 |
2.17 |
| Over 3.75 |
1.95 |
| Under 3.75 |
1.72 |
| Over 4.0 |
2.24 |
| Under 4.0 |
1.53 |
| Over 4.25 |
2.50 |
| Under 4.25 |
1.43 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
1.83 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.88 |
| Over 1.75 |
2.10 |
| Under 1.75 |
1.62 |
| Over 2.0 |
2.66 |
| Under 2.0 |
1.37 |
| Over 1.0 |
1.26 |
| Under 1.0 |
3.19 |
| Over 1.25 |
1.54 |
| Under 1.25 |
2.24 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 3.5 |
2.29 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.54 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 0.5 |
2.31 |
| Under 0.5 |
1.52 |
Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Home -1.25 |
1.99 |
| Away -1.25 |
1.74 |
| Home -1 |
1.60 |
| Away -1 |
2.12 |
| Home -0.75 |
1.41 |
| Away -0.75 |
2.54 |
| Home -1.75 |
2.77 |
| Away -1.75 |
1.35 |
| Home -1.5 |
2.29 |
| Away -1.5 |
1.52 |
Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
|---|
| Over 1.5 |
2.08 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.66 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
Virtus = 4.52 (league 1.38),
Libertas = 0.46 (league 1.31)
|
|
Libertas |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| Virtus |
0 |
0.7% |
0.3% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
3.1% |
1.4% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
7.1% |
3.2% |
0.7% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
10.6% |
4.9% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
12.0% |
5.5% |
1.3% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
10.8% |
5.0% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 66.0% ·
Draw 3.1% ·
Away win 0.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
