Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio di Fiorentino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.37) 1.08 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 31.6% 41.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.4%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tre Penne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 15.3% 16.4% 8.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.9% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinoTre Penne
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack50%72%
Defense100%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentino Tre Penne
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%29%43%71%43%57%
Draws14%29%21%29%29%29%
Loses29%43%36%0%29%14%

Form: Fiorentino: LWDDLLDLLWWWWW • Tre Penne: WWWDWLDDDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Fiorentino Tre Penne
HATHAT
GF total7613121426
GF avg1.00.90.91.72.01.9
GA total5914088
GA avg0.71.31.00.01.10.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinoTre Penne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%50%79%36%
1.521%29%50%14%
2.514%14%21%7%
3.50%7%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinoTre Penne
HATHAT
Clean sheets527729
Failed to score336213

Penalties

MetricFiorentinoTre Penne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricFiorentinoTre Penne
Wins13
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-6
Biggest losses0-43-0—3-0
Goals For3356
Goals Against4303

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinoTre Penne
Form56%44%
Att41%59%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tre Penne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.53 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ Betano
Away1.59 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentino = 0.80 (league 1.37), Tre Penne = 1.08 (league 1.30)

Tre Penne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 15.3% 16.4% 8.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.9% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 41.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1