Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:15 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.38) 0.46 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 47.0% 24.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.5%
1 - 0
19.6%
0 - 1
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Juvenes / Dogana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 37.5% 17.2% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCosmosJuvenes / Dogana
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack31%38%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cosmos Juvenes / Dogana
HATHAT
Played77149615
Wins29%43%36%33%33%33%
Draws43%29%36%44%33%40%
Loses29%29%29%22%33%27%

Form: Cosmos: LLDLWWWDWDDWDL • Juvenes / Dogana: DWLWDLDDLWWLDWD

League goals

Metric Cosmos Juvenes / Dogana
HATHAT
GF total6101611617
GF avg0.91.41.11.21.01.1
GA total471111516
GA avg0.61.00.81.20.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCosmosJuvenes / Dogana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%73%73%
1.529%14%33%20%
2.521%0%7%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCosmosJuvenes / Dogana
HATHAT
Clean sheets325134
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricCosmosJuvenes / Dogana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCosmosJuvenes / Dogana
Wins32
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-33-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricCosmosJuvenes / Dogana
Form43%57%
Att45%55%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cosmos or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Superbet
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cosmos = 0.52 (league 1.38), Juvenes / Dogana = 0.46 (league 1.31)

Juvenes / Dogana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cosmos 0 37.5% 17.2% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.6% 9.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.1% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 47.0% · Away win 24.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1