Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:15 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.39) 1.09 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.6% 32.7% 47.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.4%
0 - 0
18.7%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 18.7% 20.4% 11.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 11.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack38%69%
Defense69%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Folgore Virtus
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%38%53%75%71%73%
Draws14%25%20%25%14%20%
Loses14%38%27%0%14%7%

Form: Folgore: WLWWWLWWDDLLDWW • Virtus: DWWWWWWWWDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Folgore Virtus
HATHAT
GF total191130181533
GF avg2.71.42.02.32.12.2
GA total5813527
GA avg0.71.00.90.60.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFolgoreVirtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%53%87%40%
1.553%27%80%7%
2.533%7%27%0%
3.57%0%13%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFolgoreVirtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets437459
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Wins38
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-36-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-1—1-0
Goals For6364
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Form41%59%
Att35%65%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total31.4%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away1.83 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Folgore = 0.58 (league 1.39), Virtus = 1.09 (league 1.35)

Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 18.7% 20.4% 11.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2%
1 11.0% 11.9% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.2% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 32.7% · Away win 47.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1