Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 20:15 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.38) 1.14 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 31.9% 49.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.3%
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 17.8% 20.3% 11.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 11.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack43%79%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Folgore Virtus
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%38%53%75%71%73%
Draws14%25%20%25%14%20%
Loses14%38%27%0%14%7%

Form: Folgore: WLWWWLWWDDLLDWW • Virtus: DWWWWWWWWDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Folgore Virtus
HATHAT
GF total191130181533
GF avg2.71.42.02.32.12.2
GA total5813527
GA avg0.71.00.90.60.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFolgoreVirtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%53%87%40%
1.553%27%80%7%
2.533%7%27%0%
3.57%0%13%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFolgoreVirtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets437459
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Wins38
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-36-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-1—1-0
Goals For6364
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricFolgoreVirtus
Form41%59%
Att35%65%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total31.4%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Folgore = 0.59 (league 1.38), Virtus = 1.14 (league 1.29)

Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 17.8% 20.3% 11.5% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.5% 11.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.1% 3.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 49.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1