Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 20:15 • Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.10 (league 1.39) 2.25 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.1% 11.8% 84.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
24.1%
0 - 1
21.4%
0 - 3
18.1%
Score & goals probability table
Domagnano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 9.5% 21.4% 24.1% 18.1% 10.2% 4.6%
1 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertasDomagnano
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack7%57%
Defense14%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertas Domagnano
HATHAT
Played78159615
Wins14%13%13%67%33%53%
Draws29%38%33%22%67%40%
Loses57%50%53%11%0%7%

Form: Libertas: DLLWDDLLDDLWLLL • Domagnano: WWDDLWWWDWWWDDD

League goals

Metric Libertas Domagnano
HATHAT
GF total5712211132
GF avg0.70.90.82.31.82.1
GA total122133718
GA avg1.72.62.20.80.20.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertasDomagnano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%73%47%
1.513%47%47%7%
2.50%33%47%0%
3.50%27%27%0%
4.50%20%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertasDomagnano
HATHAT
Clean sheets112358
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricLibertasDomagnano
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLibertasDomagnano
Wins13
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-15-20-6
Biggest losses0-46-10-1—
Goals For2256
Goals Against4621

Model comparison

MetricLibertasDomagnano
Form25%75%
Att11%89%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution4%96%
H2h20%80%
Goals21%79%
Total17.7%82.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Domagnano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.33 @ Betfair
Away1.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Libertas = 0.10 (league 1.39), Domagnano = 2.25 (league 1.36)

Domagnano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 9.5% 21.4% 24.1% 18.1% 10.2% 4.6%
1 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.1% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 84.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1