Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 20:15 • Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.39) 1.40 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.6% 26.9% 45.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pennarossa 0 8.8% 12.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPennarossaFiorentino
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack50%57%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pennarossa Fiorentino
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%25%33%50%29%40%
Draws14%25%20%13%29%20%
Loses43%50%47%38%43%40%

Form: Pennarossa: LLLWLWLWDLWWDLD • Fiorentino: LWDDLLDLLWWWWWL

League goals

Metric Pennarossa Fiorentino
HATHAT
GF total88167613
GF avg1.11.01.10.90.90.9
GA total15142911920
GA avg2.11.81.91.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePennarossaFiorentino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%93%53%53%
1.540%53%20%33%
2.57%27%13%20%
3.50%13%0%13%
4.50%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPennarossaFiorentino
HATHAT
Clean sheets101527
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricPennarossaFiorentino
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPennarossaFiorentino
Wins25
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-00-3
Biggest losses0-53-00-63-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against5363

Model comparison

MetricPennarossaFiorentino
Form40%60%
Att47%53%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals8%92%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fiorentino

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Bet365
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away2.02 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.15 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pennarossa = 1.03 (league 1.39), Fiorentino = 1.40 (league 1.35)

Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pennarossa 0 8.8% 12.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.1% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 45.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1