Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 20:15 • Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.39) 0.33 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.4% 13.5% 3.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.9%
1 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 7.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre PenneFaetano
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack100%29%
Defense79%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Penne Faetano
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins71%50%60%29%25%27%
Draws29%25%27%14%13%13%
Loses0%25%13%57%63%60%

Form: Tre Penne: WWWDWLDDDWWLWWW • Faetano: WLLLWDLLDLWLLLW

League goals

Metric Tre Penne Faetano
HATHAT
GF total1220326713
GF avg1.72.52.10.90.90.9
GA total088141529
GA avg0.01.00.52.01.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre PenneFaetano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%33%73%73%
1.553%13%13%60%
2.527%7%0%33%
3.520%0%0%13%
4.520%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre PenneFaetano
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310224
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricTre PenneFaetano
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricTre PenneFaetano
Wins31
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-62-00-2
Biggest losses—3-00-64-1
Goals For5622
Goals Against0364

Model comparison

MetricTre PenneFaetano
Form67%33%
Att81%19%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals92%8%
Total79.3%20.8%

Advice: Winner : Tre Penne

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.12 @ Bet365
Draw8.92 @ Pinnacle
Away22.00 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Penne = 2.33 (league 1.39), Faetano = 0.33 (league 1.35)

Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 7.0% 2.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.9% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 4.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.4% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 3.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1