Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.39) 1.33 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.4% 28.5% 56.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.9%
0 - 0
15.7%
0 - 2
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Giovanni 0 15.7% 20.9% 14.0% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 10.9% 7.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan GiovanniLibertas
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack40%40%
Defense30%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Giovanni Libertas
HATHAT
Played611178917
Wins0%18%12%25%22%24%
Draws50%36%41%25%33%29%
Loses50%45%47%50%44%47%

Form: San Giovanni: DLDLLLWLDDLLDDDLW • Libertas: DLLWDDLLDDLWLLLWW

League goals

Metric San Giovanni Libertas
HATHAT
GF total28107916
GF avg0.30.70.60.91.00.9
GA total111425132235
GA avg1.81.31.51.62.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan GiovanniLibertas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%82%71%88%
1.56%35%24%41%
2.56%18%0%29%
3.50%12%0%24%
4.50%0%0%18%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan GiovanniLibertas
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score459325

Penalties

MetricSan GiovanniLibertas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSan GiovanniLibertas
Wins11
Draws32
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-11-2
Biggest losses0-44-00-46-1
Goals For1322
Goals Against4446

Model comparison

MetricSan GiovanniLibertas
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total54.0%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : San Giovanni or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Superbet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Giovanni = 0.52 (league 1.39), Libertas = 1.33 (league 1.35)

Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Giovanni 0 15.7% 20.9% 14.0% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.1% 10.9% 7.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.1% 2.8% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 56.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1