Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.39) 2.00 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.6% 20.4% 64.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.4%
0 - 1
12.4%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Folgore
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 6.2% 12.4% 12.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.7% 9.7% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertasFolgore
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack64%100%
Defense43%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertas Folgore
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins40%17%27%64%55%59%
Draws20%42%32%18%18%18%
Loses40%42%41%18%27%23%

Form: Libertas: DLLWDDLLDDLWLLLWWDWLWD • Folgore: WLWWWLWWDDLLDWWLWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Libertas Folgore
HATHAT
GF total121325272047
GF avg1.21.11.12.51.82.1
GA total152843121022
GA avg1.52.32.01.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertasFolgore
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%91%95%59%
1.532%41%64%36%
2.55%27%36%5%
3.50%18%9%0%
4.50%14%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertasFolgore
HATHAT
Clean sheets112459
Failed to score325011

Penalties

MetricLibertasFolgore
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLibertasFolgore
Wins24
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-26-10-4
Biggest losses0-46-11-32-1
Goals For3264
Goals Against4632

Model comparison

MetricLibertasFolgore
Form38%62%
Att39%61%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h15%85%
Goals24%76%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Folgore

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.55 @ 1xBet
Draw4.58 @ Pinnacle
Away1.39 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertas = 0.78 (league 1.39), Folgore = 2.00 (league 1.35)

Folgore
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertas 0 6.2% 12.4% 12.4% 8.3% 4.1% 1.7%
1 4.8% 9.7% 9.7% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 1.9% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 64.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1