Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.39) 2.04 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 21.3% 53.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.5%
0 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 3.7% 7.5% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.6% 9.5% 9.7% 6.6% 3.3% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFolgoreLa Fiorita
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%77%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Folgore La Fiorita
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins64%58%61%42%73%57%
Draws18%17%17%50%18%35%
Loses18%25%22%8%9%9%

Form: Folgore: WLWWWLWWDDLLDWWLWWWWDWW • La Fiorita: DWWDDWWWDWDWDWDWWLWLWDW

League goals

Metric Folgore La Fiorita
HATHAT
GF total272451222749
GF avg2.52.02.21.82.52.1
GA total12122413821
GA avg1.11.01.01.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFolgoreLa Fiorita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%61%91%65%
1.565%39%74%26%
2.539%4%30%0%
3.513%0%9%0%
4.54%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFolgoreLa Fiorita
HATHAT
Clean sheets459268
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricFolgoreLa Fiorita
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricFolgoreLa Fiorita
Wins43
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-43-00-5
Biggest losses1-32-10-12-0
Goals For6435
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricFolgoreLa Fiorita
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or La Fiorita

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Folgore = 1.26 (league 1.39), La Fiorita = 2.04 (league 1.35)

La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Folgore 0 3.7% 7.5% 7.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.6% 9.5% 9.7% 6.6% 3.3% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.9%
3 1.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 53.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1