Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Chiesanuova
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.85 (league 1.36) 1.62 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 22.2% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Libertas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pennarossa 0 3.1% 5.0% 4.1% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.8% 9.3% 7.5% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.3% 5.3% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPennarossaLibertas
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack22%56%
Defense50%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pennarossa Libertas
HATHAT
Played121123111223
Wins25%18%22%36%17%26%
Draws25%27%26%18%42%30%
Loses50%55%52%45%42%43%
PennarossaLLLWLWLWDLWWDLDLLDLDLLD
LibertasDLLWDDLLDDLWLLLWWDWLWDL

League goals

Metric Pennarossa Libertas
HATHAT
GF total131023141327
GF avg1.10.91.01.31.11.2
GA total242145192847
GA avg2.01.92.01.72.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePennarossaLibertas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%87%78%91%
1.535%57%35%43%
2.54%35%4%30%
3.50%13%0%22%
4.50%4%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPennarossaLibertas
HATHAT
Clean sheets303112
Failed to score549325

Penalties

MetricPennarossaLibertas
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPennarossaLibertas
Wins22
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-11-2
Biggest losses0-53-00-46-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against5346

Model comparison

MetricPennarossaLibertas
Form22%78%
Att29%71%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total43.0%57.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ William Hill
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.15 @ 1xBet
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League standings

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