Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.65 (league 1.39) 0.13 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.8% 3.5% 0.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
18.4%
4 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cailungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.8% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre FioriCailungo
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack46%38%
Defense69%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Fiori Cailungo
HATHAT
Played101323121123
Wins90%62%74%0%18%9%
Draws0%38%22%25%9%17%
Loses10%0%4%75%73%74%

Form: Tre Fiori: WWWWWWDWWDDWWWWWWWWDDLW • Cailungo: LDWLLLLLLLDLLLLWLDLDLLL

League goals

Metric Tre Fiori Cailungo
HATHAT
GF total2325488715
GF avg2.31.92.10.70.60.7
GA total369242448
GA avg0.30.50.42.02.22.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre FioriCailungo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%26%52%91%
1.570%13%13%65%
2.535%0%0%35%
3.522%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre FioriCailungo
HATHAT
Clean sheets8917022
Failed to score1345611

Penalties

MetricTre FioriCailungo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricTre FioriCailungo
Wins81
Draws21
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-4—0-2
Biggest losses0-2—1-46-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against2246

Model comparison

MetricTre FioriCailungo
Form89%11%
Att55%45%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution96%4%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total79.0%21.0%

Advice: Winner : Tre Fiori

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.20 @ Bet365
Draw7.56 @ Pinnacle
Away41.00 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.49 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Fiori = 3.65 (league 1.39), Cailungo = 0.13 (league 1.35)

Cailungo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.2% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.8% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 12.3% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.8% · Draw 3.5% · Away win 0.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1