Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Igor Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.19 (league 1.39) 4.63 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.3% 1.7% 66.1%
best score tips
0 - 4
15.4%
0 - 5
14.2%
0 - 3
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tre Penne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murata 0 0.8% 3.7% 8.6% 13.3% 15.4% 14.2%
1 0.2% 0.7% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMurataTre Penne
Played55
Form0%87%
Attack17%56%
Defense0%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Murata Tre Penne
HATHAT
Played121224111324
Wins0%8%4%73%69%71%
Draws17%17%17%27%15%21%
Loses83%75%79%0%15%8%

Form: Murata: LDLLDWLDDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL • Tre Penne: WWWDWLDDDWWLWWWWWWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Murata Tre Penne
HATHAT
GF total41216213152
GF avg0.31.00.71.92.42.2
GA total31306121214
GA avg2.62.52.50.20.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMurataTre Penne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.546%96%88%42%
1.58%79%67%13%
2.54%42%29%4%
3.54%21%13%0%
4.54%13%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMurataTre Penne
HATHAT
Clean sheets1019514
Failed to score8513213

Penalties

MetricMurataTre Penne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total17

Streaks

MetricMurataTre Penne
Wins18
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-55-00-6
Biggest losses0-65-0—3-0
Goals For1556
Goals Against6513

Model comparison

MetricMurataTre Penne
Form0%100%
Att23%77%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution5%95%
H2h7%93%
Goals32%68%
Total16.2%83.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Tre Penne and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home51.00 @ William Hill
Draw13.92 @ Pinnacle
Away1.04 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.40 @ William Hill
No1.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.58.25 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Murata = 0.19 (league 1.39), Tre Penne = 4.63 (league 1.35)

Tre Penne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murata 0 0.8% 3.7% 8.6% 13.3% 15.4% 14.2%
1 0.2% 0.7% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8%
2 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 66.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1