Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.39) 0.66 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 39.1% 29.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.9%
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
17.1%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 25.9% 17.1% 5.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 11.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack47%73%
Defense60%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Fiori Virtus
HATHAT
Played111324131124
Wins91%62%75%85%64%75%
Draws0%38%21%15%27%21%
Loses9%0%4%0%9%4%

Form: Tre Fiori: WWWWWWDWWDDWWWWWWWWDDLWW • Virtus: DWWWWWWWWDLWWWDWWDWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Tre Fiori Virtus
HATHAT
GF total262551322052
GF avg2.41.92.12.51.82.2
GA total56117411
GA avg0.50.50.50.50.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre FioriVirtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%29%88%42%
1.571%17%79%4%
2.538%0%33%0%
3.521%0%8%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre FioriVirtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets89177714
Failed to score134123

Penalties

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Wins88
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-46-00-4
Biggest losses0-2——1-0
Goals For4464
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricTre FioriVirtus
Form38%62%
Att39%61%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Virtus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.66 @ 1xBet
Draw2.75 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tre Fiori = 0.69 (league 1.39), Virtus = 0.66 (league 1.36)

Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 25.9% 17.1% 5.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 11.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 39.1% · Away win 29.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1