Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 • Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.39) 0.85 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 26.9% 22.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 10.2% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.4% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre FioriLa Fiorita
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack69%88%
Defense56%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.214 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Fiori La Fiorita
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins92%62%76%46%67%56%
Draws0%38%20%46%25%36%
Loses8%0%4%8%8%8%

Form: Tre Fiori: WWWWWWDWWDDWWWWWWWWDDLWWW • La Fiorita: DWWDDWWWDWDWDWDWWLWLWDWDW

League goals

Metric Tre Fiori La Fiorita
HATHAT
GF total302555272855
GF avg2.51.92.22.12.32.2
GA total661213922
GA avg0.50.50.51.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre FioriLa Fiorita
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%32%92%64%
1.572%16%72%24%
2.540%0%32%0%
3.524%0%12%0%
4.50%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre FioriLa Fiorita
HATHAT
Clean sheets8917369
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricTre FioriLa Fiorita
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricTre FioriLa Fiorita
Wins83
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-45-00-5
Biggest losses0-2—0-12-0
Goals For4455
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricTre FioriLa Fiorita
Form48%52%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or La Fiorita

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Betano
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tre Fiori = 1.44 (league 1.39), La Fiorita = 0.85 (league 1.36)

La Fiorita
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Fiori 0 10.2% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.6% 12.4% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 22.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1