Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio di Fiorentino
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.36) 0.77 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.4% 31.3% 25.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Faetano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentino 0 15.4% 11.7% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.5% 7.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinoFaetano
Played55
Form67%0%
Attack89%33%
Defense56%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentino Faetano
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%57%48%21%15%19%
Draws15%14%15%14%15%15%
Loses46%29%37%64%69%67%
FiorentinoLWDDLLDLLWWWWWLWLWLWLWLWWDW
FaetanoWLLLWDLLDLWLLLWLLDWDLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Fiorentino Faetano
HATHAT
GF total10213111920
GF avg0.81.51.10.80.70.7
GA total201737262551
GA avg1.51.21.41.91.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinoFaetano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%63%56%78%
1.530%37%15%63%
2.522%19%4%30%
3.54%11%0%11%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinoFaetano
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510336
Failed to score74117512

Penalties

MetricFiorentinoFaetano
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricFiorentinoFaetano
Wins51
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-63-00-64-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against6364

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinoFaetano
Form100%0%
Att73%27%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h80%20%
Goals64%36%
Total69.8%30.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
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League standings

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