Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Igor Crescentini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.36) 2.97 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.7% 7.7% 82.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
17.4%
0 - 3
17.2%
0 - 4
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentino
0 1 2 3 4 5
Murata 0 3.9% 11.7% 17.4% 17.2% 12.8% 7.6%
1 1.0% 3.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.4% 2.0%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMurataFiorentino
Played55
Form0%67%
Attack10%45%
Defense25%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 34 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Murata Fiorentino
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins0%7%4%36%57%46%
Draws14%14%14%14%14%14%
Loses86%79%82%50%29%39%
MurataLDLLDWLDDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
FiorentinoLWDDLLDLLWWWWWLWLWLWLWLWWDWL

League goals

Metric Murata Fiorentino
HATHAT
GF total41317112132
GF avg0.30.90.60.81.51.1
GA total383674221739
GA avg2.72.62.61.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMurataFiorentino
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%96%61%64%
1.57%82%29%39%
2.54%46%21%18%
3.54%25%4%11%
4.54%11%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMurataFiorentino
HATHAT
Clean sheets1015510
Failed to score106167411

Penalties

MetricMurataFiorentino
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricMurataFiorentino
Wins15
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-53-00-3
Biggest losses0-65-00-63-0
Goals For1534
Goals Against6563

Model comparison

MetricMurataFiorentino
Form0%100%
Att18%82%
Def21%79%
Poisson Distribution8%92%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total26.4%73.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.00 @ Bet365
Draw6.10 @ Pinnacle
Away1.26 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.31 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Marathonbet
No1.58 @ 1xBet
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League standings

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