Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 08:15 • Stadion Stovky
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.79) 0.60 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.2% 41.5% 28.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.4%
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Třinec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frýdek-Místek 0 29.4% 17.6% 5.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 11.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFrýdek-MístekTřinec
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack33%71%
Defense62%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Frýdek-Místek Třinec
HATHAT
Played56116612
Wins80%33%55%100%50%75%
Draws0%33%18%0%33%17%
Loses20%33%27%0%17%8%

Form: Frýdek-Místek: WWWDWLDLWLW • Třinec: WDWDWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Frýdek-Místek Třinec
HATHAT
GF total8122023932
GF avg1.62.01.83.81.52.7
GA total312156410
GA avg0.62.01.41.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFrýdek-MístekTřinec
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%64%83%58%
1.555%36%67%25%
2.536%18%42%0%
3.50%18%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFrýdek-MístekTřinec
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricFrýdek-MístekTřinec
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricFrýdek-MístekTřinec
Wins34
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-37-20-5
Biggest losses0-24-12-0
Goals For3375
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricFrýdek-MístekTřinec
Form37%63%
Att32%68%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Třinec

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.01 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away1.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Marathonbet
No2.38 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Frýdek-Místek = 0.63 (league 1.79), Třinec = 0.60 (league 1.51)

Třinec
0 1 2 3 4 5
Frýdek-Místek 0 29.4% 17.6% 5.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 11.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.2% · Draw 41.5% · Away win 28.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1