Tue, Apr 28 2026 • 17:30 •
Sportplatz Trainingszentrum
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.35)
0.37 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.0% | 25.5% | 9.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Retz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Wiener SC | 0 | 15.6% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.2% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Wiener SC carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 87 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Wiener SC -8.7, Retz -2.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Wiener SC
vs
Retz
Elo gapWiener SC +87
Home / draw / away50% / 20% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2975.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2975.9
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514 | 1461.9 |
| Form Elo | 1515.4 | 1456.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1506.8 | 1477.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1552.8 | 1446.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1519.4 | 1477.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -8.7 | -2.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Wiener SC last-5 Elo change: -8.7; Retz last-5 Elo change: -2.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 15 | 24 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 11% | 27% | 21% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| Draws | 89% | 20% | 46% | 54% | 38% | 46% |
| Loses | 0% | 53% | 33% | 46% | 54% | 50% |
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RetzDLLLLLDWDLLLLLDDLLDDDDDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 26 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Wiener SC | Retz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 63% | 35% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 38% | 15% | 58% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 25% | 8% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 17% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | — | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-1 | 0-4 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Wiener SC | Retz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 0% | 0% |
| Def | 100% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.5% | 41.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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