Fri, May 1 2026 • 17:10 •
FavAC - Platz
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.35)
1.18 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.1% | 30.3% | 44.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Donau | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Favoritner AC | 0 | 13.8% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 13.0% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Donau carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 63 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Favoritner AC +9.7, Donau +1.8.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Favoritner AC
vs
Donau
Elo gapDonau +63
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo3083.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3083.3
Elo home share
41%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1492.6 | 1590.7 |
| Form Elo | 1506.4 | 1595.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1473.8 | 1539 |
| Attack Elo | 1461.7 | 1542.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1486.1 | 1666.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +9.7 | +1.8 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Favoritner AC last-5 Elo change: +9.7; Donau last-5 Elo change: +1.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 31% | 8% | 19% | 54% | 31% | 42% |
| Draws | 31% | 38% | 35% | 38% | 46% | 42% |
| Loses | 38% | 54% | 46% | 8% | 23% | 15% |
Favoritner ACLLLLLLLLWWLWLLLDWDWDDDDDDD
DonauDDWDWWLLWWWWLDWLWWDDDDDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 16 | 18 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Favoritner AC | Donau | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 35% | 35% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 12% | 15% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Favoritner AC | Donau |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 0% | 0% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 40.3% | 59.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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