Sat, May 2 2026 • 14:00 •
Sportplatz Retz
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.35)
1.07 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.2% | 33.1% | 46.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.3%
0 - 0
19.0%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Neusiedl | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Retz | 0 | 19.0% | 20.3% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Retz carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 22 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Retz -2.5, Neusiedl +15.5.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Retz
vs
Neusiedl
Elo gapRetz +22
Home / draw / away38% / 27% / 35%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2936.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2936.8
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1461.9 | 1474.9 |
| Form Elo | 1456.2 | 1474.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1491.7 | 1496.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1446.5 | 1526.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1477.7 | 1519.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.5 | +15.5 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Retz last-5 Elo change: -2.5; Neusiedl last-5 Elo change: +15.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 0% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 0% | 8% | 4% | 21% | 8% | 15% |
| Draws | 54% | 38% | 46% | 36% | 50% | 42% |
| Loses | 46% | 54% | 50% | 43% | 42% | 42% |
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League goals
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 19 | 26 | 45 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Retz | Neusiedl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 35% | 69% | 62% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 58% | 19% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 31% | 12% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-1 | 0-4 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Retz | Neusiedl |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 0% | 0% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 34.3% | 65.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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