Liga II — Romania
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 10:00 • Baza Sportivă FC Bacău
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.49) 2.06 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 19.8% 64.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
ASA Targu Mures
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Bacau 0 5.7% 11.8% 12.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.8%
1 4.6% 9.4% 9.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.8% 3.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC BacauASA Targu Mures
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack31%100%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Bacau ASA Targu Mures
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%75%67%71%
Draws67%25%43%25%0%14%
Loses33%50%43%0%33%14%

Form: FC Bacau: LLWDDDL • ASA Targu Mures: DWWWWLW

League goals

Metric FC Bacau ASA Targu Mures
HATHAT
GF total25710717
GF avg0.71.31.02.52.32.4
GA total3710055
GA avg1.01.81.40.01.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC BacauASA Targu Mures
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%86%43%
1.529%43%71%29%
2.50%14%71%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC BacauASA Targu Mures
HATHAT
Clean sheets101404
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricFC BacauASA Targu Mures
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFC BacauASA Targu Mures
Wins14
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-24-01-3
Biggest losses1-22-0—2-1
Goals For1243
Goals Against2302

Model comparison

MetricFC BacauASA Targu Mures
Form33%67%
Att22%78%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total31.3%68.8%

Advice: Winner : ASA Targu Mures

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.50 @ Marathonbet
Away2.33 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.22 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.49 @ Marathonbet
No2.42 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Bacau = 0.80 (league 1.49), ASA Targu Mures = 2.06 (league 1.11)

ASA Targu Mures
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Bacau 0 5.7% 11.8% 12.2% 8.4% 4.3% 1.8%
1 4.6% 9.4% 9.7% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.8% 3.7% 3.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 64.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1