Liga II — Romania
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 10:30 • Sepsi Duna Aréna
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.51) 1.12 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 19.3% 17.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
2 - 0
8.6%
1 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
ASA Targu Mures
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.6% 8.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheASA Targu Mures
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack82%24%
Defense76%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe ASA Targu Mures
HATHAT
Played9101911920
Wins78%60%68%64%44%55%
Draws11%30%21%18%11%15%
Loses11%10%11%18%44%30%

Form: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: DLWWWWLWWDWWDWWWWWD • ASA Targu Mures: DWWWWLWLWDWLWWDWLLWL

League goals

Metric Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe ASA Targu Mures
HATHAT
GF total171734211637
GF avg1.91.71.81.91.81.9
GA total691561622
GA avg0.70.90.80.51.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheASA Targu Mures
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%53%75%55%
1.563%26%55%45%
2.516%0%45%10%
3.55%0%10%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheASA Targu Mures
HATHAT
Clean sheets549819
Failed to score112415

Penalties

MetricSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheASA Targu Mures
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheASA Targu Mures
Wins54
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-23-0
Goals For5243
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheASA Targu Mures
Form68%32%
Att78%22%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total68.3%31.8%

Advice: Winner : Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 188Bet
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away6.41 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe = 2.27 (league 1.51), ASA Targu Mures = 1.12 (league 1.12)

ASA Targu Mures
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0 3.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.6% 8.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.6% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.3% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 17.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1