Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:00 • Stade des Peupliers
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.89) 0.58 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.0% 10.4% 4.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
12.6%
4 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Paradiso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bavois 0 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.7% 7.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.3% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBavoisParadiso
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack55%45%
Defense65%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bavois Paradiso
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins67%50%57%33%25%29%
Draws33%0%14%33%25%29%
Loses0%50%29%33%50%43%

Form: Bavois: LWLWWDW • Paradiso: LWDDLWL

League goals

Metric Bavois Paradiso
HATHAT
GF total681412517
GF avg2.02.02.04.01.32.4
GA total279121123
GA avg0.71.81.34.02.83.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBavoisParadiso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%86%100%
1.557%29%57%86%
2.557%14%43%71%
3.514%0%14%43%
4.50%0%14%29%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBavoisParadiso
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricBavoisParadiso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBavoisParadiso
Wins21
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-47-52-3
Biggest losses3-12-45-0
Goals For3473
Goals Against1355

Model comparison

MetricBavoisParadiso
Form67%33%
Att55%45%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h25%75%
Goals29%71%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bavois or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away2.81 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.59 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Unibet
No2.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bavois = 2.96 (league 1.89), Paradiso = 0.58 (league 1.57)

Paradiso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bavois 0 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.7% 7.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.6% 7.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.3% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.0% · Draw 10.4% · Away win 4.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1