Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 • Centro Sportivo Al Maglio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.89) 1.59 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.2% 25.0% 49.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bulle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano II 0 7.1% 11.2% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugano IIBulle
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack35%39%
Defense61%39%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.814 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugano II Bulle
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%50%29%0%50%29%
Draws100%0%43%0%50%29%
Loses0%50%29%100%0%43%

Form: Lugano II: LDWDLWD • Bulle: WWLDLDL

League goals

Metric Lugano II Bulle
HATHAT
GF total36961016
GF avg1.01.51.32.02.52.3
GA total3131611819
GA avg1.03.32.33.72.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugano IIBulle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%86%86%
1.543%57%71%86%
2.514%29%57%71%
3.50%29%14%29%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugano IIBulle
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricLugano IIBulle
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLugano IIBulle
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-33-4
Biggest losses6-01-4
Goals For2334
Goals Against2643

Model comparison

MetricLugano IIBulle
Form80%20%
Att47%53%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lugano II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Superbet
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.67 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ Pinnacle
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lugano II = 1.06 (league 1.89), Bulle = 1.59 (league 1.57)

Bulle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano II 0 7.1% 11.2% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.4% 2.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 49.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1