Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 12:00 • Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.91 (league 1.88) 2.69 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 10.1% 11.9%
best score tips
4 - 2
4.4%
5 - 2
4.3%
4 - 3
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lugano II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Basel II 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
2 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.4% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%
5 1.2% 3.2% 4.3% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBasel IILugano II
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack53%40%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Basel II Lugano II
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%0%50%25%
Draws25%75%50%100%0%50%
Loses50%0%25%0%50%25%

Form: Basel II: DDWDWDLL • Lugano II: LDWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Basel II Lugano II
HATHAT
GF total115164610
GF avg2.81.32.01.01.51.3
GA total1141541317
GA avg2.81.01.91.03.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBasel IILugano II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%75%88%
1.538%50%38%50%
2.538%38%13%25%
3.525%25%0%25%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBasel IILugano II
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricBasel IILugano II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBasel IILugano II
Wins11
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-3—2-3
Biggest losses1-4——6-0
Goals For5323
Goals Against4226

Model comparison

MetricBasel IILugano II
Form45%55%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Basel II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Unibet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.83 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Unibet
No2.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Basel II = 4.91 (league 1.88), Lugano II = 2.69 (league 1.56)

Lugano II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Basel II 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
2 0.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7%
3 1.0% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.4% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%
5 1.2% 3.2% 4.3% 3.9% 2.6% 1.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 11.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1