Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 • Stadion Eizmoos
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
5.94 (league 1.89) 4.14 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.7% 7.7% 9.3%
best score tips
5 - 4
3.2%
5 - 3
3.1%
4 - 4
2.7%
Score & goals probability table
Luzern II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cham 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.2%
5 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChamLuzern II
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack47%88%
Defense35%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cham Luzern II
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%0%33%40%25%33%
Draws20%0%11%20%25%22%
Loses20%100%56%40%50%44%

Form: Cham: WLLLWDLWL • Luzern II: DLLLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Cham Luzern II
HATHAT
GF total1621881422
GF avg3.20.52.01.63.52.4
GA total91221111425
GA avg1.83.02.32.23.52.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChamLuzern II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%89%89%
1.556%67%56%78%
2.533%44%44%44%
3.511%22%22%33%
4.511%11%22%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChamLuzern II
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricChamLuzern II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricChamLuzern II
Wins11
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-0—3-02-6
Biggest losses3-54-00-47-5
Goals For6136
Goals Against5447

Model comparison

MetricChamLuzern II
Form41%59%
Att35%65%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Luzern II and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.34 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Unibet
No3.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cham = 5.94 (league 1.89), Luzern II = 4.14 (league 1.52)

Luzern II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cham 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 1.5%
4 0.2% 0.9% 1.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.2%
5 0.3% 1.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 7.7% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1