Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 15:00 •
Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob
Expected Goals
3.25 (league 1.91)
2.99 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.5% | 15.9% | 30.2% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.0%
3 - 3
5.0%
2 - 2
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Luzern II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Basel II | 0 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Basel II | Luzern II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 88% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Basel II | Luzern II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 44% | 25% | 35% | 33% | 29% | 31% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 41% | 44% | 29% | 38% |
| Loses | 22% | 25% | 24% | 22% | 43% | 31% |
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Luzern IIDLLLLWDWWLWWDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Basel II | Luzern II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 16 | 37 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Basel II | Luzern II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 76% | 81% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 53% | 56% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 35% | 24% | 44% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 12% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 19% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Basel II | Luzern II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Basel II | Luzern II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Basel II | Luzern II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-6 | 8-1 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-4 | 7-5 |
| Goals For | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Basel II | Luzern II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 48% | 52% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.90 @ SBO
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away3.48 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.35 @ 188Bet
No3.60 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
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League standings
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