Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 • Stade des Peupliers
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.89) 0.50 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.4% 15.2% 6.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
13.9%
3 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Breitenrain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bavois 0 6.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.4% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBavoisBreitenrain
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack65%24%
Defense71%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bavois Breitenrain
HATHAT
Played791610818
Wins71%67%69%50%0%28%
Draws14%11%13%10%25%17%
Loses14%22%19%40%75%56%

Form: Bavois: LWLWWDWWWWWDWWLW • Breitenrain: WLLLDWLWDLWLLLWDLL

League goals

Metric Bavois Breitenrain
HATHAT
GF total16203617522
GF avg2.32.22.31.70.61.2
GA total91019131528
GA avg1.31.11.21.31.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBavoisBreitenrain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%72%78%
1.569%31%39%33%
2.556%13%11%33%
3.513%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBavoisBreitenrain
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricBavoisBreitenrain
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBavoisBreitenrain
Wins51
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-0—
Biggest losses1-33-12-35-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricBavoisBreitenrain
Form71%29%
Att73%27%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h40%60%
Goals47%53%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Winner : Bavois

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Superbet
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bavois = 2.31 (league 1.89), Breitenrain = 0.50 (league 1.57)

Breitenrain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bavois 0 6.0% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.9% 6.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 8.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.4% 6.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 6.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1