Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 14:00 • Centro Sportivo Al Maglio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.89) 0.45 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.2% 38.6% 18.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.1%
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Breitenrain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano II 0 27.1% 12.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.0% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugano IIBreitenrain
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack15%25%
Defense50%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugano II Breitenrain
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins20%40%30%45%0%25%
Draws70%0%35%18%33%25%
Loses10%60%35%36%67%50%

Form: Lugano II: LDWWDLWDDLDLDWWDLWLL • Breitenrain: WLLLDWLWDLWLLLWDLLDD

League goals

Metric Lugano II Breitenrain
HATHAT
GF total9182719625
GF avg0.91.81.41.70.71.3
GA total103040151631
GA avg1.03.02.01.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugano IIBreitenrain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%80%75%80%
1.545%60%40%35%
2.515%30%10%30%
3.50%15%0%5%
4.50%10%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugano IIBreitenrain
HATHAT
Clean sheets404314
Failed to score325145

Penalties

MetricLugano IIBreitenrain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLugano IIBreitenrain
Wins21
Draws21
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-33-0—
Biggest losses0-36-02-35-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3635

Model comparison

MetricLugano IIBreitenrain
Form57%43%
Att38%63%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total54.7%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lugano II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.63 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugano II = 0.86 (league 1.89), Breitenrain = 0.45 (league 1.56)

Breitenrain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano II 0 27.1% 12.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.2% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.0% 4.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.2% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 18.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1