Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 16:00 •
Sportanlage Hubelmatt
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.91)
3.06 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 14.1% | 64.5% |
best score tips
1 - 3
8.0%
1 - 2
7.8%
0 - 3
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Bavois | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luzern II | 0 | 1.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luzern II | Bavois |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 60% |
| Defense | 20% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
80%
FT probability
3.5+
57%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luzern II | Bavois | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 30% | 22% | 26% | 56% | 70% | 63% |
| Draws | 50% | 22% | 37% | 22% | 10% | 16% |
| Loses | 20% | 56% | 37% | 22% | 20% | 21% |
Luzern IIDLLLLWDWWLWWDDDDLDL
BavoisLWLWWDWWWWWDWWLWDWL
League goals
| Metric | Luzern II | Bavois | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 22 | 46 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 20 | 25 | 45 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luzern II | Bavois | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 84% | 89% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 74% | 63% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 37% | 42% | 53% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 21% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 16% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luzern II | Bavois | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luzern II | Bavois |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luzern II | Bavois |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 2-6 | 3-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 7-5 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luzern II | Bavois |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.36 @ William Hill
No3.04 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.34 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Marathonbet
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League standings
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