Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 14:30 • Centro Sportivo Al Maglio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.89) 1.91 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 22.1% 56.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Zürich II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano II 0 5.2% 9.9% 9.5% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.9% 5.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugano IIZürich II
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack47%37%
Defense32%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugano II Zürich II
HATHAT
Played121325131124
Wins25%38%32%23%55%38%
Draws58%0%28%23%27%25%
Loses17%62%40%54%18%38%

Form: Lugano II: LDWWDLWDDLDLDWWDLWLLLWWLL • Zürich II: LDDWLWLWLWDLWDDLDWLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Lugano II Zürich II
HATHAT
GF total132336152540
GF avg1.11.81.41.22.31.7
GA total163753222042
GA avg1.32.82.11.71.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugano IIZürich II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%84%83%83%
1.548%64%50%46%
2.520%32%25%25%
3.54%20%8%13%
4.50%8%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugano IIZürich II
HATHAT
Clean sheets404224
Failed to score437224

Penalties

MetricLugano IIZürich II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLugano IIZürich II
Wins23
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-46-01-46-2
Goals For4324
Goals Against4646

Model comparison

MetricLugano IIZürich II
Form40%60%
Att56%44%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total42.5%57.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Zürich II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Dafabet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 188Bet
No2.90 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugano II = 1.05 (league 1.89), Zürich II = 1.91 (league 1.57)

Zürich II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugano II 0 5.2% 9.9% 9.5% 6.0% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.5% 10.4% 9.9% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1%
2 2.9% 5.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 56.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1