Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 13:00 •
Centro Sportivo Al Maglio
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.89)
1.66 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 24.2% | 58.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Basel II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugano II | 0 | 8.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lugano II | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 47% | 42% |
| Defense | 32% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lugano II | Basel II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 25% | 38% | 32% | 54% | 50% | 52% |
| Draws | 58% | 0% | 28% | 23% | 33% | 28% |
| Loses | 17% | 62% | 40% | 23% | 17% | 20% |
Form: Lugano II: LDWWDLWDDLDLDWWDLWLLLWWLL • Basel II: DDWDWDLLWWWDWLDLDWWWLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Lugano II | Basel II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 23 | 36 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 37 | 53 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lugano II | Basel II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 84% | 88% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 64% | 60% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 32% | 32% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 20% | 12% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lugano II | Basel II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lugano II | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lugano II | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 1-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lugano II | Basel II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 24% | 76% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 37% | 63% |
| Total | 32.7% | 67.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Basel II
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lugano II = 0.76 (league 1.89), Basel II = 1.66 (league 1.57)
| Basel II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lugano II | 0 | 8.9% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.9% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 58.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1