Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 16:30 • Campo Pian Scairolo
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.88) 2.52 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 17.0% 29.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
5.8%
3 - 2
5.7%
2 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lugano II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paradiso 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
1 1.2% 3.1% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%
2 1.8% 4.6% 5.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.5% 5.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.3% 3.4% 4.3% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1%
5 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParadisoLugano II
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack36%71%
Defense64%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paradiso Lugano II
HATHAT
Played131326141327
Wins23%15%19%29%38%33%
Draws31%38%35%57%0%30%
Loses46%46%46%14%62%37%

Form: Paradiso: LWDDLWLLDDLLDLLWWLDLLLDDWD • Lugano II: LDWWDLWDDLDLDWWDLWLLLWWLLDW

League goals

Metric Paradiso Lugano II
HATHAT
GF total261541172340
GF avg2.01.21.61.21.81.5
GA total292857183755
GA avg2.22.22.21.32.82.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParadisoLugano II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%70%81%
1.546%65%48%63%
2.515%35%22%30%
3.54%19%7%19%
4.54%15%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParadisoLugano II
HATHAT
Clean sheets224505
Failed to score235538

Penalties

MetricParadisoLugano II
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricParadisoLugano II
Wins22
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-21-3
Biggest losses2-55-00-46-0
Goals For7343
Goals Against5546

Model comparison

MetricParadisoLugano II
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Paradiso or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paradiso = 2.97 (league 1.88), Lugano II = 2.52 (league 1.57)

Lugano II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paradiso 0 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
1 1.2% 3.1% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.0%
2 1.8% 4.6% 5.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.5%
3 1.8% 4.5% 5.7% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5%
4 1.3% 3.4% 4.3% 3.6% 2.3% 1.1%
5 0.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 29.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1