Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 16:30 •
Campo Pian Scairolo
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.88)
2.52 (league 1.57)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.0% | 17.0% | 29.9% |
best score tips
2 - 2
5.8%
3 - 2
5.7%
2 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Lugano II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paradiso | 0 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paradiso | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 36% | 71% |
| Defense | 64% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
81%
FT probability
3.5+
58%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paradiso | Lugano II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 23% | 15% | 19% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Draws | 31% | 38% | 35% | 57% | 0% | 30% |
| Loses | 46% | 46% | 46% | 14% | 62% | 37% |
Form: Paradiso: LWDDLWLLDDLLDLLWWLDLLLDDWD • Lugano II: LDWWDLWDDLDLDWWDLWLLLWWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Paradiso | Lugano II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 15 | 41 | 17 | 23 | 40 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 29 | 28 | 57 | 18 | 37 | 55 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paradiso | Lugano II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 85% | 70% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 65% | 48% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 35% | 22% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 19% | 7% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 15% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paradiso | Lugano II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paradiso | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paradiso | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-0 | 0-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paradiso | Lugano II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 52.7% | 47.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Paradiso or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paradiso = 2.97 (league 1.88), Lugano II = 2.52 (league 1.57)
| Lugano II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paradiso | 0 | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 29.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1
